Study Shows Improved Rentals Even in Hard-Hit Markets

An article in the Wall Street Journal (by Dawn Wotapka 1/6/2011) , named “For Apartments, a Hot Winter”, cites  data gathered from 82 major markets by Reis Inc., a New York-based research firm. The data indicates robust improvement in most apartment markets studied, including some of the hardest-hit, such as Phoenix.

Although the data relates to residential apartment rents, it is directly applicable, in my opinion, to single family homes and condominiums. The same drivers, economic and other, that have created the robust improvement in apartment rental profile, affect single family homes and condominiums.

For those of us looking at buying properties at a discount in some of the hardest-hit markets, such news is quite welcome - it means that while heavily discounted properties are available for purchase, they should rent well in an already-improving rental market with low vacancies.

When we think about the total picture, it is quite a trifecta for the savvy investor: highly discounted prices (in many cases well under the bare construction costs), very low interest rates, and a robust rental market with low vacancies. The combination bodes very well for the real estate investor. Even if buying for cash, the combination of discounted prices and low vacancies is what constitutes the basis for a very solid buy.

Read full article: For Apartments, a Hot Winter By DAWN WOTAPKA

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Tax Credits Ending 4/30 – How Will it Effect Real Estate Investors?

Many of you have probably noticed that buying bank-owned properties in the best markets (Orlando, Phoenix, Las Vegas etc.) has been tougher lately.

You probably noticed that there are many more offers per property than the usual amount, that offer prices are going up fast and that it became much harder to actually get an offer accepted.

A good portion of this phenomenon is due to the upcoming expiration of the tax credits.

Many would-be homeowners are scrambling to get properties under contract before the deadline. In lower-priced markets where good homes can be bough under $100,000, the $8,000 tax credit is a huge portion of the cash required to close. (if not more than the entire amount of cash required ). This holds true for the $6,500 credit as well.

Needless to say, this deadline has created a real shift in many real estate markets, but especially in the ones that represent the best bargains.

One result is that many realtors in many markets provide rosy statistics about how “their market is on an upswing” and the “average prices are going up” and “we have passed the bottom and are on the way up”. Some news outlets have seized on these reports and we have seen recent articles extolling the recovery of many real estate markets nationwide.

I believe most of these reports reflect the “flash-in-the-pan” phenomenon of buyers rushing to get their tax credit before the deadline.

Many markets may still show good closing activity for the next two months reflecting all these hasty contracts actually closing. Thus we are in for more reports about a wondrous recovery.

After all the tax-credit related closings occur, some hard reality may present itself.

This whole phenomenon bodes well for real estate investors beginning May 1st 2010. Starting May 1st, the competition for many bank-owned properties is likely to decline dramatically. Prices may be closer to the banks’ low asking prices with not as furious a bidding war as we experience now.

Happy investing!.

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Builders Clawing Their Way back

Home builders have been out of the picture for the past couple of years. They could not match the outrageous prices banks were selling foreclosed properties for.
Recently we started getting some calls from builders trying to get back in the game. To compete with the banks they are trying “no-down” seller financing, special terms etc.
It was interesting for me to see an article in the Wall Street Journal today talking about builders nationwide fighting back and trying to regain their footing in markets where lender foreclosure dominate. The article confirmed our experience.
The article is called ” Battling Back, Builders Work Fast, Cut Prices”. It is written by James R. Hagerty and Dawn Wotapka and can be found at the WSJ site using this link: http://online.wsj.com/article/SB20001424052748703422904575039691675728982.html
I believe this could lead to a slow return back to builder-sold properties which could work for investors as well. Builders just have to be very competitive and creative. Stay tuned
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HUD Lifts 90-day Seasoning for One Year

As you probably know, HUD had a minimum hold time on a property of 90 days before it could be sold (to avoid “quick flips”).The minimum hold meant that FHA would not insure a property sold in a flip of a shorter hold time.

Needless to say this strange and arbitrary limitation did not help people trying to fix and flip houses, nor the local neighborhoods where such fix-and-flips would have created a positive effect.

HUD has now (as of January 15th, 2010) recapitulated - temporarily, and lifted the limit for the duration of one year. Hopefully it will stay like this.

Here is the link to the HUD website announcing the news.

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Berkeley Finance Conference 2009

For those of you that may be interested in attending, I have been invited to be on a real estate experts’ panel at the Berkeley Finance Conference 2009 at the Haas School of Business at UC Berkeley.

The conference theme is “Recovery - What will it be like?”

It will be on Friday November 13th. The real estate panel is between 4:00-5:30 PM at the Wells Fargo room.

The conference is an all-day event. The keynote speaker is Dr. George Akerlof – winner of the 2001 Nobel Prize in Economics and a professor of Economics at UC Berkeley.

A link to the conference info is:
http://groups.haas.berkeley.edu/fc/conference/index.html

Attendees can register at:
http://www.acteva.com/booking.cfm?bevaid=191379

I hope some of you could attend.

Adiel

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Change to Arizona Anti-Deficiency Statute Repealed

Many of you may know by now that Arizona governor Jan Brewer signed HB 2008 on September 4th 2009. HB 2008, among other things, repeals SB 1271 which called for adverse changes to Arizona’s anti-deficiency laws.

Thus Arizona’s anti-deficiency is as strong as it was before SB 1271.

We had a tele-seminar with an Arizona attorney regarding a detailed explanation of Arizona’s anti-deficiency laws. We have recorded it and can share it with you.

Please just contact us (details at our main web site www.icgre.com).

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Short Sales and Deficiencies

Although I am not an attorney, I have been talking to attorneys and the message I get regarding short sales is always: Beware!

Many of us are using loss mitigation experts to assist us in attempting to short sell properties we wish to dispose of that are underwater.
There is a notion, which is mistaken, according to the attorneys I have talked to, that just closing on a short sale (which means the lender approved it), magically gets rid of our potential liability for any deficiency.

I believe this is entirely false.

Every attorney I talked to emphasizes that even if the lender has approved of a short sale, there needs to be SPECIFIC LANGUAGE in the contract as well as in the closing documents, stating explicitly that the loan has been satisfied fully and that the lender will not retain the right to sue for a deficiency at a later date.

I have been talking to many of you about my on-going recommendation to use a lawyer in conjunction with the short-sale specialist you are using. I believe this is quite important and this blog post enables me to warn everyone I may not have talked to. We also put this post in our recent newsletter. The lawyer can compose the right language to be put into the short sale contract, make sure that the right language is present in the closing documents, and demand that the lender put the right language in the documents before closing.

I believe using a lawyer while attempting the short-sales is a great safety mechanism. Just because you closed on a short sale does not necessarily make you immune to a future deficiency suit. The lender may even just sell the note to a collection agency who then may attack you and try to collect.

I recommend taking the necessary steps to get legally protected in a short sale.

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